There was a lot to digest last week, so let’s jump right to it. The AP reported that the Supreme Court has ruled that states can force online shoppers to pay sales tax (all times local). This was an obvious jab at the monopoly Amazon holds in the online e-commerce business. AP also reported that Wayfair, one of the companies named in the case and the e-commerce company that sells home goods expects this decision to have a “notable impact” on its business. Our home state of Illinois is probably salivating, most likely spending the money before its even collected!
The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee will decidedly raise the upper bound of its Fed Funds limit to 1.75% today. At least this is what is predicted via The CME Group Fed Watch tool which puts the odds at 94.4%:
As usual we comb the globe in search of pertinent information that you may otherwise, never have been exposed to. Information that we can read and decipher in order to bring you the type of research you have come to expect from us, out of the box and certainly out of the ordinary. Anyway this first batch is from a recent piece from Amundi Asset Mgmt, a subsidiary created by Credit Agricole and Soc Gen. This recent piece they put out highlights, how important the ECB has been in soaking up European government debt and thus artificially keeping rates extremely low. This mechanism has become the defacto methodology of choice by our QE frenzied central banks. We have talked at length in prior letters how this drives down long term interest rates, drives up the nominal price of assets and in turn allows for otherwise defunct and broke corporations and governments themselves to refinance their way back to solvency. You see we didn't use the term health, because the solutions the central banks have used is anything but a cure, but rather a placebo to mask the true and inherent problem, DEBT. As many have stated before, only Keynesians think you can solve a debt problem with more debt and obviously since all fiat money is also nothing more than debt, well, you really aren't fixing anything then are you?