Capital Trading Group

Alternative Investments within Managed Futures

Turkish Lira Plunge Signals Warning Signs?

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Aug 15, 2018 1:40:33 PM

 

What an interesting week, to say the least, from Elon opening his mouth too wide and Uber/Lyft fighting NYC on new ride share app regulations. All in all, last week presented us with a chance to look at a NYC taxi medallion chart, who wudda ever thought? Anyway, regulations were signed into law last week by NYC mayor De Blasio, limiting the amount of ride sharing app licenses, as well as requiring a minimum pay for its drivers of $17.22 an hour. No doubt they will fight, but hey considering this medallion chart, we do think the taxi brigade has a legitimate beef. The traders in us think this chart is well oversold!

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Fear of Missing Out

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Aug 8, 2018 9:59:39 AM

 

On Friday we saw the equity markets first head fake only to be driven higher after NFP printed 157k and unemployment fell 0.1 to 3.9%. In the morning, the SP500 saw initial buying then fell back to 2828 support and then never really looked back, here is the chart from Friday August 3rd:

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Italy and More...

Posted by Capital Trading Group on May 30, 2018 1:30:12 PM

Nothing more wets the contrarian investors’ appetite then when these 3 little letters start making their rounds around the financial sphere. What three letters you ask? “CDS”, Some of you novices might not be old enough to remember the damage that these things did a decade ago, but I love a good rehypothecated insurance product, don’t you? What risk is there any more, markets just rise and rise and its cherry Kool-Aid stained T-Shirts for everyone right? Yea more like blood stained in disguise, masked under trillions of global central banks interest rate fixing, bond buying, #QE4EVR regimes. Anyhow lets just take a look at Italian 5Y CDS shall we:

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