Capital Trading Group

Alternative Investments within Managed Futures

Turkish Lira Plunge Signals Warning Signs?

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Aug 15, 2018 1:40:33 PM

 

What an interesting week, to say the least, from Elon opening his mouth too wide and Uber/Lyft fighting NYC on new ride share app regulations. All in all, last week presented us with a chance to look at a NYC taxi medallion chart, who wudda ever thought? Anyway, regulations were signed into law last week by NYC mayor De Blasio, limiting the amount of ride sharing app licenses, as well as requiring a minimum pay for its drivers of $17.22 an hour. No doubt they will fight, but hey considering this medallion chart, we do think the taxi brigade has a legitimate beef. The traders in us think this chart is well oversold!

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GDP Gains But FANGS Repricing

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Jul 31, 2018 10:07:24 AM

 

The big economic news for last week came out on Friday as US Q2 GDP posted a decent 4.1%, estimates were as high as 4.4% but let’s not lose sight of the fact that we haven’t had a plus 4% print in nearly 4 years. This news wasn’t enough to help the NASDAQ which, and as we have warned about sector rotation, has seemingly stung the tech sector. The NASDAQ lost nearly 1% on the week while the Dow gained 1.5%. The sector arbs seemed to dominate flows here as the NASDAQ has seen selling while the other indexes as a whole have seemed to benefit. Anyway, here is a quarterly chart of US Real GDP:

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