CTG Insights

Commodity Crossings: Grains - Week of June 30, 2025

Written by Capital Trading Group | Jun 30, 2025 9:22:22 PM

Commodity Futures Weekly Newsletter- For the week of June 30th, 2025

 

Reverse Head & Shoulders met targets.

 

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A publication by the Research Team at Capital Trading Group: 800-238-2610


Grains
Wheat Futures
Wheat Futures react lower after short-term reversal pattern. 

 

Wheat Futures have been moving lower again after a sharp recovery through 569’2 to 594. With RSI at 45.91, below 50, bearish sentiment is back in the lead.
A Reverse Head & Shoulders chart pattern met targets
After a potential Reverse or Inverse Head & Shoulders chart pattern became active by breaking the ‘neckline‘ of the pattern, near Resistance at 569’2, we have met the short-term target for the pattern at a level where the distance from the lower ’head’ of the pattern to the neckline equals the distance traveled above the neckline, peaking at 594. Thereafter, a ’retouch’ of the neckline Support becomes due in Technical Analysis of chart patterns. This has now happened. If Wheat Futures fail to hold Support, now beneath the neckline, the pattern would be complete and a test of 506’2 would follow.
Conclusion
With the RSI below 50, at 45.91, sentiment has turned back Bearish. This coupled with the inability to extend the upward price action above 594 to challenge Upper Resistance has the Wheat market looking to next challenge Support in the 525 area. A Daily close below 525 would lead to a test of the 2025 low at 506’2.

 

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Thank you!

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