The Real Elephant in the Room.....DEBT.

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Jan 31, 2019 9:38:29 AM

We decided to wait till the FOMC meeting to release this week’s letter so that we could capture the most important event of the week. It’s not that we didn’t expect a few of the tech giant earnings would be painted with bullishness, but we felt maybe the earnings didn’t really matter.

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The Natural Course of Things is Inevitable, Not Preventable

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Jan 17, 2019 9:39:05 AM

Dead cat bounce or does the equity market have what it takes to reverse that negative bear market stigma? As we highlighted over the last few weekly notes, we suspected the equity markets would bounce. However now, we feel that the euphoria has hit some technical levels that should put to test the veracity of this rally. We like to take a longer-term approach in times like this as everyone is all goosed up about the rebound, because fundamentally nothing has really changed. In fact, one can argue where fundamentals are concerned, the backdrop continues to weaken, global instability continues to gain, and the US government furlough seems to be foolishly overlooked.

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Non-Farm Payroll Beat Sparks Market, What's Next?

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Jan 10, 2019 10:50:04 AM

What a ride the beginning of the year has been so far. As we warned in our year end and 2019 outlook, the equity markets were most likely set up for some bottom pickers to step in and show their support out of the gates.

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2018 Review & Outlook 2019

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Dec 31, 2018 8:32:32 AM

Before we get into a review of the important facets of 2018, let’s look back and take a look at last years year end letter and take note of what we foretold.

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Unintended Consequences of Monetary Easing

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Nov 23, 2018 9:22:16 AM

This is going to be a quick note with some charts due to the Thanksgiving holiday week. We continue to see bounces being sold into in terms of the equity markets. Our readers have been well informed of our sentiment and despite expecting this to continue, we do expect some bounces to occur now and then. The larger global macro theme hinges on the FEDs continued hikes and deteriorating global cohesion theme.

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