The Natural Course of Things is Inevitable, Not Preventable

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Jan 17, 2019 9:39:05 AM

Dead cat bounce or does the equity market have what it takes to reverse that negative bear market stigma? As we highlighted over the last few weekly notes, we suspected the equity markets would bounce. However now, we feel that the euphoria has hit some technical levels that should put to test the veracity of this rally. We like to take a longer-term approach in times like this as everyone is all goosed up about the rebound, because fundamentally nothing has really changed. In fact, one can argue where fundamentals are concerned, the backdrop continues to weaken, global instability continues to gain, and the US government furlough seems to be foolishly overlooked.

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2018 Review & Outlook 2019

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Dec 31, 2018 8:32:32 AM

Before we get into a review of the important facets of 2018, let’s look back and take a look at last years year end letter and take note of what we foretold.

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Corporate Treasuries Have Chosen a Life That Does Not Have a Future

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Nov 15, 2018 9:31:57 AM

This week’s note will begin by reiterating our bullish theme on the Natural Gas market. We have been clamoring for weeks about both the technical and fundamental backdrop that continues to underpin this Bull Run.

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It's Not What You Buy, But When You Buy It.

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Oct 25, 2018 10:29:46 AM

Its kind of amazing how at certain points in time, things happen and they tend to be a wake up call – that is if we just open our ears and listen. We have talked at length about our disdain for the likes of the big investment houses and their pitching of zero fee fund management products. 

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GDP Gains But FANGS Repricing

Posted by Capital Trading Group on Jul 31, 2018 10:07:24 AM

 

The big economic news for last week came out on Friday as US Q2 GDP posted a decent 4.1%, estimates were as high as 4.4% but let’s not lose sight of the fact that we haven’t had a plus 4% print in nearly 4 years. This news wasn’t enough to help the NASDAQ which, and as we have warned about sector rotation, has seemingly stung the tech sector. The NASDAQ lost nearly 1% on the week while the Dow gained 1.5%. The sector arbs seemed to dominate flows here as the NASDAQ has seen selling while the other indexes as a whole have seemed to benefit. Anyway, here is a quarterly chart of US Real GDP:

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