June 2, 2025
Commodity Futures Weekly Newsletter- For the week of June 2nd, 2025
10 Year Bonds remain below trendline support, which has become resistance.
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A publication by the Research Team at Capital Trading Group: 800-238-2610
Financials
10 Year Treasury Bond Futures
10 Year Bonds remain below Trendline Support.
10 Year Treasury Bond Futures remains below previous Trendline Support. With RSI above 50, at 52.80, bearish momentum is at bay. A test of Structural Support at 109’08 is favored.
Trendline Support now Resistance at 112
As before, the price action from the 107’06 early 2025 low would be the base for any new advance. As is, the action can continue to be construed as constructive, with 5 small non-overlapping waves to the recent 114’10 high. This would be Wave 1 of a new cycle. Clearly, any new high above 114’10 would favor this outcome. Only a break of 107’06 would negate this scenario. With the recovery in Stock Indices incomplete, the correction in Bonds may also be incomplete. Previous Trendline Support near 112 is now current Resistance.
Conclusion
The main support level of 107’04 is pivotal as any breaks would be interpreted as bearish for Bond prices. Any breaks above 114’10 would be Bullish for Bond Prices. Until then, a decline below 109’08 at the April 2025 low may be needed. The break of Trendline Support favors that outcome while lowered Resistance at 112’20’5 remains in place.
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Thank you!
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