June 18, 2025
Commodity Crossings: Metals - Week of June 16, 2025
Commodity Futures Weekly Newsletter- For the week of June 16th, 2025
Gold continues its uptrend to challenge the all-time high.
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A publication by the Research Team at Capital Trading Group: 800-238-2610
Metals
Gold Futures
Gold Futures uptrend to challenge all-time high.
Gold Futures remained above 50 in RSI at 70.70 and Fibonacci price Support at 3,111.90 again this week. It still remains too early to be confident Wave 3 has ended and Wave 4 is in progress. This week price settled at 3,452.60 up 121.60 from last weeks close of 3,331.
Fibonacci Supports at 3,111.90 & 2,865.70 buoy Gold market
Even a very shallow correction would retrace 23.6% of the gains in Wave 3, in a Wave 4 to 3,111.90. A deeper Wave 4 correction would retrace 38.2% of the gains in Wave 3. This projects to 2,865.70 and is also listed on the chart. With the low of the decline from the all-time high 3,509.90 top only reaching 3,123.50 it is too early to call Wave 3 complete. The correction is likely only correcting Wave 3 of 3, hence its’ shallow nature, implying Wave 5 of 3 is yet to come.
Conclusion
If Gold Futures were to close a Daily session over 3,509.90, prior to reaching 3,111.90, then 3,802.10 would become the Fibonacci Extension target, at 4.236x the length of Wave 1 in a persistent Wave 3. A drop below 50 in RSI, currently at 70.70, or a decline beneath 3,111.90 would be needed to feel Wave 4 was in effect. Any new high through 3,509.90 and new Fibonacci retracement levels for an eventual Wave 4 can be drawn.
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Thank you!
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