May 27, 2025

Commodity Crossings: Softs - Week of May 26, 2025

Commodity Futures Weekly Newsletter- For the week of May 26th, 2025

Coffee futures continue to fall, resistance remains unchallenged.

 

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A publication by the Research Team at Capital Trading Group: 800-238-2610


Softs
Coffee Futures
Coffee Futures continue to fall.

 

Coffee Futures continued to again trade below Resistance at 418.90 this week, closing at 359.80. As before, until we see a Daily close above Resistance, a second A,B,C decline to come remains the preferred view.
Resistance at 418.90 remains unchallenged
Same as last week. The Wave X high of 418.90 remains unchallenged as Resistance for further declines. As it holds, a potential “double” zig zag is the view for more eventual downside pressure. The 3-wave rise from 323.90 remains labeled as Wave X, in the middle of another A,B,C move lower as shown on the chart in greyscale. As in ABCXABC. With RSI at 40.22, bearish momentum has stayed below the midpoint this week. This favors Wave A of the next A,B,C decline to below 323.90 in motion. Only a Daily close above 418.90 would mandate a revised view.
Conclusion
Continue to favor more downside from below 418.90. Conversely, if a full 12345ABC cycle is indeed complete as per the model, at 323.90, a new high above 429.95 would become favored on a Daily close above 418.90 in a revised view.

 

 


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