June 18, 2025
Commodity Futures Weekly Newsletter- For the week of June 16th, 2025
Coffee futures continue their slide.
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A publication by the Research Team at Capital Trading Group: 800-238-2610
Softs
Coffee Futures
Coffee Futures fall again this week.
Coffee Futures continued lower this week to below 336.55 as forecast. As before, until we see a Daily close above Resistance at 418.90, a second A,B,C decline to come continues to remain the forecast. With Wave A downward complete, Wave B upward is now likely complete as well. Declines in Wave C would travel below 323.90, below the low of the initial ABC decline from the chart high.
Lowered Resistance at 401.30 remains a strong barrier
The Wave X high of 418.90 remains unchallenged as Resistance for further declines. As it holds, a potential “double” zig zag continues to be the preferred view for more even more downside pressure. With RSI at 40.14, bearish momentum has stayed below the midpoint again this week. Continue to favor the next A,B,C decline to below 323.90 in motion. Only a Daily close above 418.90 would change the outlook. We can maintain Resistance from 418.90 at the Wave X high, down to 401.30. This would be a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, .786, of the decline of Wave A in Wave B’s upward correction. If Wave B is complete, Resistance can be lowered to the Wave B high at 376.40.
Conclusion
Continue to favor more downside from below 418.90 to reach beneath 323.90. While prices remain below lowered resistance at 401.30, prices falling below this week’s low of 334.30 would indicate the next leg down is underway.
For complete strategies in Futures and Option pricing to potentially capitalize on this analysis, call 800- 238-2610 to speak to a registered broker with Capital Trading Group or request more information on how to get started via email sent to info@capitaltradinggroup.com.
Thank you!
Trading advice given in this communication, if any, is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that we believe are reliable. The author does not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be
relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects the author’s good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice the author provides will result in profitable trades. There is risk of loss in all futures and
options trading. Any investment involves substantial risks, including, but not limited to, pricing volatility, inadequate liquidity, and the potential complete loss of principal. This article does not in any way constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any
investment, security, or commodity discussed herein, or any security in any jurisdiction in which such an offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
