June 9, 2025

Commodity Crossings: Softs - Week of June 9, 2025

Commodity Futures Weekly Newsletter- For the week of June 9th, 2025

Coffee futures could be setting up for next leg down. Resistance remains firm. 

 

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A publication by the Research Team at Capital Trading Group: 800-238-2610


Softs
Coffee Futures
Coffee Futures setting up for next leg down. 

 

Coffee Futures continued lower this week to 336.50, then bounced higher closing at 357.45. As before, until we see a Daily close above Resistance at 418.90, a second A,B,C decline to come continues to remain the forecast. With Wave A downward complete, Wave B upward is in motion.
418.90 remains firm Resistance, lower Resistance to 401.30
The Wave X high of 418.90 remains unchallenged as Resistance for further declines. As it holds, a potential “double” zig zag is the view for more even more downside pressure. With RSI at 46.12, bearish momentum has stayed below the midpoint again this week. Continue to favor the next A,B,C decline to below 323.90 in motion. Only a Daily close above 418.90 would change the outlook. We can lower Resistance from 418.90 at the Wave X high, down to 401.30. This would be a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, .786, of the decline of Wave A in Wave B’s upward correction.
Conclusion
Continue to favor more downside from below 418.90 to reach beneath 323.90. While prices remain below lowered resistance at 401.30, prices falling below this week’s low of 336.50 would indicate the next leg down was underway.

 

 


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